Potenza – Ascoli

Model: TipA1

Potenza vs Ascoli

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 55d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.39% · n=268
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.39% · n=268
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ascoli. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ascoli

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

20/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.97First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.04Highest point
Min odds1.74Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PotenzaHOME
VS
AscoliAWAY
DWWDD
Recent form
DLWWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.40
Shots on target for
4.20
6.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
2.00
Home splitD-W-D-W2.00 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitD-L-W1.00 scored / 0.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.39% based on n=268 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Play-Offs (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.00
V2 BandNONEROI -1.39% · n=268
V4 BandNONEROI -1.39% · n=268
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Ascoli has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 11.4% 7D: 11.0% 15D: 3.5% 30D: 0.9%
Model insight

Potenza – Ascoli Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.39% and -1.39%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample159
Win Rate50.3%
Profit+7.35u
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WINOsasco Sporting U20 - Ibrachina U202.00-1.48%
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Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
2 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.39% • n=268
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.39% • n=268
Start
Started 55d ago
Updated
Updated 56d 1h ago
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