Model: TipTromba45H

Universitario De Vinto vs Bolivar

PREDICTION

@ 4.33

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 55d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.16% · n=78

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.16% · n=78

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Universitario De Vinto. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Universitario De Vinto

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds5.87First seen

Current4.60Now

Max odds5.87Highest point

Min odds4.60Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Universitario De VintoHOME

BolivarAWAY

WWDLW

Recent form

LDDDW

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.20

Shots on target for

9.40

7.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

5.00

Home splitW-D-W-L2.50 scored / 1.75 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-W-W1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.16% based on n=78 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Primera Division (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.33

V2 BandNONEROI -0.16% · n=78

V4 BandNONEROI -0.16% · n=78

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Universitario De Vinto. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Universitario De Vinto's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 7.7% 7D: 4.5% 15D: -4.4% 30D: -1.3%

Model insight

Universitario De Vinto – Bolivar Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.16% and -0.16%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample10

Win Rate20.0%

Profit-1.47u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Hamar Hveragerdi - Arborg	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	XV Piracicaba U20 - Gremio Novorizontino U20	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	Largs Thistle - Auchinleck Talbot	4.10	0.00%
LOSS	Huachipato (W) - Union Espanola (W)	4.10	0.00%
WIN	Oppsal - Rade IL	4.33	-0.16%
LOSS	Matagalpa FC - Diriangen	4.33	-0.16%
LOSS	ACS Academica Bals - CSM Ramnicu Valcea	4.33	-0.16%
LOSS	Jaguar PE U20 - America PE U20	4.33	-0.16%

Pick

1 @ 4.33

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -0.16% • n=78

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-0.16% • n=78

Start

Started 55d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 56d 4h ago