FBK Karlstad – Umeå FC

Model: TIPPSH

FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 55d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FBK Karlstad. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FBK Karlstad

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.94First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds3.11Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FBK KarlstadHOME
VS
Umeå FCAWAY
DWWWW
Recent form
DWDWL
Avg goals scored
2.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.60
Shots on target for
6.20
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
5.40
Home splitD-W-W-W1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-L-W1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.16. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 1.div Norra (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.16
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FBK Karlstad. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. FBK Karlstad has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 9.1% 7D: 11.9% 15D: 4.1% 30D: -0.2%
Model insight

FBK Karlstad – Umeå FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample261
Win Rate46.4%
Profit-10.44u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas2.253.15%
LOSSNautico - EC Juventude2.273.15%
WINClub Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez2.412.49%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
LOSSWuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2.383.15%
LOSSJacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U202.302.49%
WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
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Pick
1 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 55d ago
Updated
Updated 55d 4h ago
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