FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FBK Karlstad. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FBK KarlstadValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.16. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 1.div Norra (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FBK Karlstad. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. FBK Karlstad has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
FBK Karlstad – Umeå FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Nautico - EC Juventude | 2.27 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| WIN | FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cuiaba - America MG | 2.13 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 2.38 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20 | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Internacional U20 - Gremio U20 | 1.99 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |