FBK Karlstad – Umeå FC

Model: TIPPSH

FBK Karlstad – Umeå FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 9d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 13h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric FBK Karlstad Umeå FC
Last 5 form D-W-W-W-W D-W-D-W-L
Avg goals scored 2.20 2.00
Avg goals conceded 0.40 1.60
Home/Away form D-W-W-W (home) D-W-L-L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded 1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Shots on target 6.20 for / 2.60 against 4.60 for / 5.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.25 for / 2.50 against (home) 2.60 for / 5.80 against (away)

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives FBK Karlstad a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. FBK Karlstad is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.94First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds3.11Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

FBK Karlstad – Umeå FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample215
Win Rate46.0%
Profit-12.89u
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WINAscoli - Catania2.282.49%
WIN29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma2.313.15%
LOSSCentral & Western - Hoi King2.203.37%
WINKariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio2.282.49%
WINLeones de Rosario - General Lamadrid2.382.49%
LOSSB36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II2.213.37%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 9d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 13h ago
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