Model: TIPPSH

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 17, 2026 9:00 AM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 55d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 55d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kataller Toyama. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kataller Toyama

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.05First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.30Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kataller ToyamaHOME

Tokushima VortisAWAY

DWDWW

Recent form

DLLLD

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.60

2.60

Shots on target for

6.60

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

5.80

Home splitD-D-W-W-W2.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-L-W2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.20

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Kataller Toyama a useful statistical edge. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Kataller Toyama is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 14.4% 7D: 8.4% 15D: 2.4% 30D: 0.5%

Model insight

Kataller Toyama – Tokushima Vortis Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample222

Win Rate43.7%

Profit-17.72u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez	2.41	2.49%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2.38	3.15%
LOSS	Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20	2.30	2.49%
WIN	Internacional U20 - Gremio U20	1.99	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00

Pick

1 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Mag 17, 2026 9:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=299

Start

Started 55d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 55d 23h ago