FK Jelgava vs SC Grobinas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FK Jelgava. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FK JelgavaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FK Jelgava's attacking profile.
FK Jelgava – SC Grobinas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20 | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Internacional U20 - Gremio U20 | 1.99 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Nomads United - Christchurch United | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Paysandu - Santa Cruz FC | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Changwon City - Yeoju | 1.86 | 3.37% |
| WIN | FC Rosengård (W) - Djurgardens (W) | 1.99 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Logan Lightning - Holland Park Hawks | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Landskrona BoIS - IFK Varnamo | 1 | 2.02 | 3.37% | 28 Jun 15:00 |
| Stjarnan - KA Akureyri | 1 | 2.09 | 3.37% | 28 Jun 19:00 |
| Cuiaba - America MG | 1 | 2.13 | 3.37% | 03 Jul 00:00 |