Model: TIPPSH

Caxias RS vs Paysandu

PREDICTION

@ 2.01

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 17, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 54d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 55d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Caxias RS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Caxias RS

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

7/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current2.32Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.07Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Caxias RSHOME

PaysanduAWAY

WDDDW

Recent form

LDWWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

2.60

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.60

Shots on target for

6.80

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

6.40

Home splitW-W-W-W-W1.60 scored / 0.20 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-W-W2.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.01. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.01

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Caxias RS has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 24.4% 7D: 13.9% 15D: -5.6% 30D: -1.8%

Model insight

Caxias RS – Paysandu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 2.01

Kickoff

Mag 17, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 54d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 55d 2h ago