Model: TIPPSH
Ferroviaria SP – Brusque
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 9d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ferroviaria SP | Brusque |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-D-W | L-W-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W-D-D (home) | L-D-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.60 for / 2.20 against | 4.60 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.20 for / 2.00 against (home) | 3.75 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Ferroviaria SP – Brusque Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample210
Win Rate45.7%
Profit-13.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.17
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 9d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 9h ago