Model: TIPPSA
Lyon – Lens
PREDICTION
2
@ 5.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 4
StartStarted 9d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.55% · n=27
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Lyon | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-W-W | W-L-W-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-W (home) | W-D-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.25 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 5.00 against | 7.20 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.50 for / 5.25 against (home) | 5.00 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market prices Lens as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Lens's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.06First seen
Current5.58Now
Max odds5.84Highest point
Min odds3.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Lyon – Lens Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 5.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.55% across 27 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample1
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-1.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Man Utd (W) - Brighton (W) | 5.60 | 4.55% |
Pick
2 @ 5.37
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.55% • n=27
Start
Started 9d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 1h ago