Model: TIPPSH
Independiente Yumbo – Aguilas Doradas
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.45
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 8d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.25% · n=28
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.25% · n=28
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Independiente Yumbo | Aguilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-D-D | W-D-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-D (home) | W-W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.75 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 3.00 against | 2.80 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.33 for / 3.33 against (home) | 2.75 for / 5.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Independiente Yumbo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.30First seen
Current4.25Now
Max odds4.75Highest point
Min odds3.16Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Independiente Yumbo – Aguilas Doradas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 12.25% and 12.25%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample2
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-2.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Dimas Escazu (W) - Saprissa (W) | 3.67 | 12.25% |
| LOSS | FC Bejaia (W) - ASE Alger Centre (W) | 3.24 | 9.53% |
Pick
1 @ 3.45
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 12.25% • n=28
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
12.25% • n=28
Start
Started 8d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 9d ago