Independiente Yumbo – Aguilas Doradas

Model: TIPPSH

Independiente Yumbo vs Aguilas Doradas

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.45
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 54d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.25% · n=28
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.25% · n=28
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 54d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Independiente Yumbo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Independiente Yumbo

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

81/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.30First seen
Current4.25Now
Max odds4.75Highest point
Min odds3.16Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Independiente YumboHOME
VS
Aguilas DoradasAWAY
LLDDD
Recent form
WDWDL
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
5.20
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
3.80
Home splitL-D-D1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L1.75 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.45. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 12.25% based on n=28 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Cup (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.45
V2 BandELITEROI 12.25% · n=28
V4 BandELITEROI 12.25% · n=28
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Independiente Yumbo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 7.8% 7D: 12.4% 15D: 2.8% 30D: -0.3%
Model insight

Independiente Yumbo – Aguilas Doradas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 12.25% and 12.25%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample3
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-3.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCriciuma U20 - Palmeiras U203.5813.35%
LOSSDimas Escazu (W) - Saprissa (W)3.6712.25%
LOSSFC Bejaia (W) - ASE Alger Centre (W)3.249.53%
Pick
1 @ 3.45
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 12.25% • n=28
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
12.25% • n=28
Start
Started 54d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 54d 14h ago
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