AFC Hermannstadt – FCSB

Model: TIPPSA

AFC Hermannstadt vs FCSB

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 53d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.40% · n=230
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FCSB. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FCSB

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds2.06Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AFC HermannstadtHOME
VS
FCSBAWAY
WDDDD
Recent form
LDLWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
5.20
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
3.60
Home splitW-D-W1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.40% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Liga I (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandLOWROI 0.40% · n=230
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 20.4% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 1.4%
Model insight

AFC Hermannstadt – FCSB Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.40% across 230 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample152
Win Rate42.8%
Profit-6.33u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
LOSSVotoraty U23 - Guarulhos U232.082.63%
LOSSVidar - Pors Grenland2.082.63%
WINSanta Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U232.012.63%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.40% • n=230
Start
Started 53d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 53d 19h ago
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