Model: TipA1

Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Santaní

PREDICTION

@ 3.90

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 20, 2026 12:00 AM

ResultWIN0 - 2

StartStarted 52d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.37% · n=123

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 53d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Santaní. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo Santaní

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

57/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.90First seen

Current3.97Now

Max odds3.97Highest point

Min odds3.90Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Independiente FBCHOME

Deportivo SantaníAWAY

LDWLW

Recent form

WDDLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

5.80

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.20

3.20

Home splitL-W-W-W1.25 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-W-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.90. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.37% based on n=123 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Division Intermedia (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.90

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.37% · n=123

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.4% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 1.4%

Model insight

Independiente FBC – Deportivo Santaní Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.37% across 123 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample34

Win Rate32.4%

Profit+8.40u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Universitatea Cluj - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	3.75	2.27%
WIN	Serrano - Sao Goncalo	3.70	2.63%
LOSS	Adelaide Cobras - Eastern United	3.70	2.63%
LOSS	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas - CA Costa Brava	3.80	2.27%
LOSS	Bath Estate - Mighty Avengers	4.00	2.27%
LOSS	PVF-CAND - Bac Ninh	3.90	2.27%
LOSS	Hudson Valley Crusaders (W) - New England Mutiny (W)	4.00	2.27%
LOSS	America RJ U20 - Artsul U20	3.75	4.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Clermont Foot - US Orleans 45	2	4.00	2.27%	11 Jul 17:00

Pick

2 @ 3.90

Kickoff

Mag 20, 2026 12:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.37% • n=123

Start

Started 52d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 53d 8h ago