VPS Vaasa – HJK Helsinki

Model: TIPPSH

VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.79
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 50d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is VPS Vaasa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: VPS Vaasa

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

61/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.80First seen
Current4.31Now
Max odds4.31Highest point
Min odds3.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

VPS VaasaHOME
VS
HJK HelsinkiAWAY
WDWDW
Recent form
LDWLW
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.00
Shots on target for
6.80
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
1.80
4.20
Home splitW-W-D-W-D2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-D-D1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.79. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.87% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.79
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to VPS Vaasa's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 36.4% 7D: 14.7% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 0.1%
Model insight

VPS Vaasa – HJK Helsinki Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.87% across 129 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample5
Win Rate20.0%
Profit-1.18u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLyn 1896 U19 - Molde U193.905.87%
WINHUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane3.825.87%
LOSSEl Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W)3.707.69%
LOSSClub 9 de Octubre - Manta FC3.707.69%
LOSSWil 1900 - FC Vaduz3.606.76%
Pick
1 @ 3.79
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Start
Started 50d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 12h ago
Torna in alto