VPS Vaasa – HJK Helsinki

Model: TIPPSH

VPS Vaasa – HJK Helsinki

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.79
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 4d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 15h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric VPS Vaasa HJK Helsinki
Last 5 form W-D-W-D-W L-D-W-L-W
Avg goals scored 2.40 1.60
Avg goals conceded 0.60 1.00
Home/Away form W-W-D-W-D (home) L-W-L-D-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded 1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 6.80 for / 1.80 against 4.20 for / 4.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 6.20 for / 2.60 against (home) 2.80 for / 4.20 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, VPS Vaasa shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. VPS Vaasa has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.80First seen
Current4.31Now
Max odds4.31Highest point
Min odds3.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

VPS Vaasa – HJK Helsinki Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.87% across 129 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample2
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-2.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSClub 9 de Octubre - Manta FC3.707.69%
LOSSWil 1900 - FC Vaduz3.606.76%
Pick
1 @ 3.79
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Start
Started 4d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 15h ago
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