AFC Hermannstadt – FCSB

Model: TIPPSA

AFC Hermannstadt vs FCSB

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.22
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 54d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.73% · n=54
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 54d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FCSB. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FCSB

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current4.30Now
Max odds4.30Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AFC HermannstadtHOME
VS
FCSBAWAY
WDDDD
Recent form
LDLWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
5.20
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
3.60
Home splitW-D-W1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.22. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.73% based on n=54 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Liga I (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.22
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.73% · n=54
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 20.4% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 1.4%
Model insight

AFC Hermannstadt – FCSB Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.22. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.92% and 4.73%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate12.5%
Profit-4.03u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSVaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W)4.173.92%
LOSSUSA - Paraguay3.973.92%
LOSSAskoe Oedt - Deutschlandsberger SC4.042.78%
LOSSJunior - Independiente Santa Fe4.103.92%
LOSSGremio Novorizontino - Ceara4.083.99%
LOSSCerezo Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki4.103.07%
WINJacuipense - Imperatriz3.973.07%
LOSSGoias - Criciuma4.183.07%
Pick
2 @ 4.22
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.92% • n=146
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.73% • n=54
Start
Started 54d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 54d 11h ago
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