Model: TIPPSA
Guayaquil City – Orense
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.43
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 19, 2026 4:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 8d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Guayaquil City | Orense |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-L-L | W-W-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W-W (home) | W-W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.40 for / 5.20 against | 5.80 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.50 for / 6.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 5.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Orense is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.61First seen
Current2.52Now
Max odds2.61Highest point
Min odds2.39Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Guayaquil City – Orense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample145
Win Rate39.3%
Profit-6.91u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.43
Kickoff
Mag 19, 2026 4:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214
Start
Started 8d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 17h ago