Model: TIPPSH
CA Tigre Reserves – Sarmiento Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.07
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 20, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 6d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 20h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | CA Tigre Reserves | Sarmiento Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-W-L | W-L-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-L-D-W (home) | W-L-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 1.80 for / 3.00 against | 4.20 for / 7.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 2.80 against (home) | 3.00 for / 3.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.07Now
Max odds2.07Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
CA Tigre Reserves – Sarmiento Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.07. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample62
Win Rate51.6%
Profit+3.13u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cape Town City - Milford FC | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Deportivo Muniz - Fenix | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Rabotnicki Skopje - Tikves Kavadarci | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sandefjord - Fredrikstad | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Chattanooga FC - Carolina Core FC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Manauara EC - Manaus | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Granat Skarzysko-Kamienna - Wierna Malogoszcz | 2.10 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duhok - Al Kahrabaa | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 27 May 17:00 |
| Molde U19 - Kristiansund BK U19 | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 27 May 18:30 |
| Belgrano Reserves - Quilmes Reserves | 1 | 2.10 | 1.31% | 27 May 20:00 |
| FC Champagne Sport - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy II | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 27 May 20:00 |
| Wieczysta Krakow - Polonia Warsaw | 1 | 1.90 | 1.31% | 28 May 17:30 |
| National Bank - Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1 | 2.03 | 1.04% | 29 May 19:00 |
| Fram Reykjavik - Breidablik | 1 | 2.32 | 1.59% | 29 May 21:15 |
| EC Juventude - America MG | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 30 May 02:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.07
Kickoff
Mag 20, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Started 6d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 20h ago