Model: TIPPSH
Sandefjord – Fredrikstad
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.18
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 25, 2026 9:15 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 15d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sandefjord | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-W-L | D-W-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-W-D (home) | D-L-L-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.25 conceded | 1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 4.40 against | 3.80 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 4.25 against (home) | 4.60 for / 4.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 47.4%
7D: 29.2%
15D: 24.7%
30D: 8.5%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.93First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Sandefjord – Fredrikstad Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample133
Win Rate48.1%
Profit+4.27u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Angelholm - BK Olympic | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sokol Kleczew - Gornik Polkowice | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Melbourne Victory NPL - Brunswick Juventus | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Club Atletico Progreso Reserves - Boston River Reserves | 2.14 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Betim FC U20 | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| WIN | CAPS United - ZPC Kariba FC | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Orlicz Suchedniow - Klimontowianka Klimontow | 2.41 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Gladiator - Taranto | 1.96 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Canberra Olympic - Canberra Juventus | 1 | 2.21 | 1.04% | 10 Jun 11:30 |
| Cape Town City - Magesi FC | 1 | 2.15 | 1.04% | 10 Jun 15:00 |
| Malaga - Las Palmas | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 10 Jun 21:00 |
| Sandvikens IF - IK Brage | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 14 Jun 17:00 |
| MP - Klubi-04 | 1 | 2.16 | 1.04% | 14 Jun 17:30 |
| Patronato Parana - Atletico Rafaela | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 14 Jun 20:30 |
| Botafogo SP - Operario PR | 1 | 2.18 | 1.04% | 15 Jun 00:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.18
Kickoff
Mag 25, 2026 9:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 15d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 15d 15h ago