FC Lasten – Ylojarvi United

Model: TipTromba2H

FC Lasten vs Ylojarvi United

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.62
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 52d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 52d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Lasten. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Lasten

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

6/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.50First seen
Current1.62Now
Max odds1.62Highest point
Min odds1.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC LastenHOME
VS
Ylojarvi UnitedAWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LDLWW
Avg goals scored
4.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.60
Shots on target for
10.20
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
4.80
Home splitW-W-L3.00 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitL-L-W0.33 scored / 1.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.62. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.82% based on n=495 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.62
V2 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. FC Lasten is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 61.1% 7D: 24.3% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 3.9%
Model insight

FC Lasten – Ylojarvi United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.62. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.82% and -3.82%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample370
Win Rate65.7%
Profit+20.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINChapecoense U20 - Figueirense U201.70-3.82%
LOSSIronbound - Manhattan SC1.65-1.89%
LOSSSeacoast United Phantoms - AC Connecticut1.60-1.89%
WINFC Copenhagen - AC Horsens1.67-1.89%
WINManagua FC - Rancho Santana FC1.62-3.38%
LOSSRhode Island FC - Brooklyn FC1.50-3.38%
WINFC Tucson - Capo FC1.70-1.89%
WINCanterbury Bankstown FC - Prospect United1.50-1.89%
Pick
1 @ 1.62
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.82% • n=495
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.82% • n=495
Start
Started 52d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 52d 16h ago
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