Newcastle Jets NPL vs Hurstville FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Hurstville FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Hurstville FCValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.03. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales League 1 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Newcastle Jets NPL – Hurstville FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Fencibles United - East Coast Bays | 2.81 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Dodoma Jiji FC - JKT Tanzania | 3.05 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata | 3.01 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers | 2.92 | 4.96% |
| WIN | New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W) | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua | 2.91 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |