Model: TIPPSA

Cadiz vs Leganes

PREDICTION

@ 2.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 24, 2026 8:30 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 0

StartStarted 47d 16h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Leganes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Leganes

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.31First seen

Current2.92Now

Max odds3.31Highest point

Min odds2.83Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CadizHOME

LeganesAWAY

WDLDL

Recent form

LDLLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.20

Shots on target for

3.00

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

5.20

Home splitW-L-L-L-L1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L0.50 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.80. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.80

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.96% · n=166

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Leganes. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Leganes is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 42.7% 7D: 33.3% 15D: 22.1% 30D: 9.2%

Model insight

Cadiz – Leganes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample70

Win Rate38.6%

Profit+1.93u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Fencibles United - East Coast Bays	2.81	4.96%
LOSS	Dodoma Jiji FC - JKT Tanzania	3.05	4.96%
WIN	Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre	2.65	4.13%
LOSS	Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata	3.01	4.96%
LOSS	Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers	2.92	4.96%
WIN	New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W)	2.86	4.96%
WIN	Maldives - Afghanistan	2.63	4.13%
LOSS	Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota	2.56	3.43%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.80

Kickoff

Mag 24, 2026 8:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166

Start

Started 47d 16h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 18h ago