Model: TIPPSH

Hills United FC vs Blacktown Spartans

PREDICTION

@ 2.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 23, 2026 11:00 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 72d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.58% · n=51

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 73d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hills United FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hills United FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.10First seen

Current2.80Now

Max odds3.45Highest point

Min odds2.80Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hills United FCHOME

Blacktown SpartansAWAY

DLWWW

Recent form

DWDLW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.40

Shots on target for

9.80

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

6.60

4.80

Home splitD-W-L1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-L1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.58% based on n=51 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales League 1 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.75

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 BandNONEROI -2.58% · n=51

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hills United FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 37.1% 7D: 21.3% 15D: 11.2% 30D: 4.0%

Model insight

Hills United FC – Blacktown Spartans Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.58% across 51 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample56

Win Rate41.1%

Profit+6.26u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	HB Torshavn - NSI Runavik	2.55	2.49%
LOSS	Laholms FK - FC Trollhättan	2.88	4.53%
WIN	Croydon Athletic - Burgess Hill Town	3.00	4.53%
LOSS	Huntsville City - Crown Legacy	2.83	4.53%
LOSS	Aldosivi - Gimnasia LP	3.00	4.53%
LOSS	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto - Banfield	2.66	3.15%
WIN	Gimnasia Mendoza - Union Santa Fe	3.00	2.04%
LOSS	Independiente FBC - Deportivo Capiata	2.76	4.53%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Sonderjyske - Viborg	1	2.91	4.53%	07 Aug 19:00
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna - Rapid Bucuresti	1	2.55	2.49%	07 Aug 20:00
Ljungskile - IK Oddevold	1	2.56	2.49%	08 Aug 13:00

Pick

1 @ 2.75

Kickoff

Mag 23, 2026 11:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-2.58% • n=51

Start

Started 72d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 73d 7h ago