Model: TIPPSH
Mlandege FC – Uhamiaji FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.53
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 5:15 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 5d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Mlandege FC | Uhamiaji FC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-W-W | L-D-D-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W-L-W (home) | L-D-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded | 0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 1.20 against | 3.00 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.75 for / 1.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Mlandege FC has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.53Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Mlandege FC – Uhamiaji FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.53. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate56.3%
Profit+5.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Island Bay United - Petone FC | 2.68 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Essendon Royals (W) - Box Hill (W) | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Sao Goncalo - Cabofriense | 2.78 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk - Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 2.34 | 2.49% |
Pick
1 @ 2.53
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 5:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 5d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 5d 11h ago