Model: TipA1
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II – BFA Vilnius
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.88
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 4
StartStarted 23d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | BFA Vilnius |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-L-D | W-W-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-D-W (home) | W-L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.25 scored / 1.50 conceded | 3.50 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.60 for / 8.40 against | 4.60 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.50 for / 5.75 against (home) | 4.67 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, BFA Vilnius shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to BFA Vilnius's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 32.1%
7D: 22.0%
15D: 15.6%
30D: 5.7%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.36First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.04Highest point
Min odds2.36Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II – BFA Vilnius Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.88. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample51
Win Rate25.5%
Profit-13.76u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Malvern City - Essendon Royals | 2.70 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Quinns FC - Curtin University SC | 3.10 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | El Paso Locomotive FC - Phoenix Rising FC | 3.10 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | CD Torrijos - Sporting Alcazar | 2.80 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | Poblense - Aguilas | 2.80 | 0.48% |
| WIN | JK Tallinna Kalev - FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 3.00 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | Guillermo Brown - CA Alvarado | 3.00 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | Santiago Morning - Provincial Osorno | 2.75 | 0.48% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunswick Juventus - Bulleen Lions | 2 | 2.75 | 0.48% | 16 Jun 11:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.88
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403
Start
Started 23d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 3h ago