Model: TipTromba45H
FC Gagra – Dila Gori
PREDICTION
1
@ 4.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 17d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.97% · n=98
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.97% · n=98
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FC Gagra | Dila Gori |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-L-L | L-D-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-D-D (home) | L-L-W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 2.80 against | 3.20 for / 4.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.80 for / 3.00 against (home) | 3.40 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 44.9%
7D: 39.6%
15D: 25.0%
30D: 8.9%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current4.34Now
Max odds4.75Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
FC Gagra – Dila Gori Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.97% and 2.97%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate28.6%
Profit+1.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Atlantis U21 - JaPS U21 | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| WIN | CA Ituzaingo - Real Pilar | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| WIN | Altona Magic U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23 | 4.20 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | Huaquillas FC - Leones FC | 4.00 | 2.97% |
| LOSS | Luka nad Jihlavou - TJ Sokol Bedrichov | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | AIK (W) - Malmo FF (W) | 4.10 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | San Martin de San Juan Reserves - Independiente Rivadavia Reserves | 4.00 | 4.86% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indonesia U19 - Australia U19 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.86% | 11 Jun 15:15 |
Pick
1 @ 4.00
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.97% • n=98
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.97% • n=98
Start
Started 17d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 15h ago