AIK (W) – Malmo FF (W)

Model: TipTromba45H

AIK (W) vs Malmo FF (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 49d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AIK (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AIK (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.40First seen
Current4.32Now
Max odds4.40Highest point
Min odds4.32Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AIK (W)HOME
VS
Malmo FF (W)AWAY
DWDLW
Recent form
DLLWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
6.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
3.40
Home splitD-W2.00 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-D1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.10. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=258 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Damallsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.10
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to AIK (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 34.5% 7D: 26.6% 15D: 20.4% 30D: 5.1%
Model insight

AIK (W) – Malmo FF (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate19.2%
Profit-5.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGuiseley - Harrogate Town4.002.97%
LOSSAlvechurch - Solihull Moors4.002.97%
LOSSSandhausen - Kaiserslautern4.202.97%
LOSSKelty Hearts - Dunfermline4.334.19%
LOSSHaverfordwest County - Hamilton4.002.97%
LOSSNairn County - Elgin4.004.86%
LOSSOdra Opole - MSK Zilina4.004.86%
LOSSKawasoe Club - Brew Saga4.004.86%
Pick
1 @ 4.10
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=258
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=258
Start
Started 49d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 10h ago
Torna in alto