Catania vs Ascoli
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ascoli. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AscoliValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Play-Offs (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Ascoli is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Catania – Ascoli Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB | 3.10 | -1.07% |
| WIN | FC Haka - KTP | 2.97 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Valur Reykjavik - Keflavik | 2.93 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Avai - Cuiaba | 3.20 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude | 3.22 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Belgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 3.02 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Blacktown Spartans U20 - Bankstown City Lions U20 | 2.94 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Defensores de Belgrano VR - CA Douglas Haig | 2.86 | -1.07% |