Model: TIPPSH

Bangor Celtic FC vs St Mochtas

PREDICTION

@ 2.27

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 26, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS5 - 6

StartStarted 45d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bangor Celtic FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bangor Celtic FC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.35First seen

Current2.27Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.26Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bangor Celtic FCHOME

St MochtasAWAY

LWDWW

Recent form

WWWDL

Avg goals scored

4.60

2.40

Defensive weakness

2.60

2.00

Shots on target for

6.80

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

7.20

Home splitL-W-D-W-W4.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-L2.75 scored / 2.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.27. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.27

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Bangor Celtic FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 14.8% 7D: 34.2% 15D: 23.0% 30D: 7.5%

Model insight

Bangor Celtic FC – St Mochtas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample162

Win Rate42.6%

Profit-11.74u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Vikingur Reykjavik - Gyori ETO	2.47	3.15%
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez	2.41	2.49%
WIN	Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W)	2.52	2.49%
LOSS	Denver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W)	2.47	2.49%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
EPS - P-Iirot	1	2.47	3.15%	11 Jul 16:00

Pick

1 @ 2.27

Kickoff

Mag 26, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Started 45d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 19h ago