Model: TipA1

Gardabani vs FC Gonio

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 28, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 6

StartStarted 44d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Gonio. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Gonio

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.30Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GardabaniHOME

FC GonioAWAY

LLDLW

Recent form

WWDLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

2.20

Defensive weakness

3.20

1.40

Shots on target for

1.60

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

2.80

Home splitL-D-W-L1.25 scored / 2.75 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-D-D1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Liga 3 (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.25

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. FC Gonio has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 6.7% 7D: 25.6% 15D: 25.9% 30D: 7.6%

Model insight

Gardabani – FC Gonio Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.36% and 6.36%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample36

Win Rate30.6%

Profit-10.17u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Brasil de Pelotas U20 - CF Com Vida Saf U20	2.40	6.36%
LOSS	EC Juventude U20 - Internacional U20	2.25	6.36%
LOSS	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	2.38	6.36%
LOSS	JS Hercules - FC Vaajakoski	2.25	6.36%
LOSS	MSK Zilina - Pardubice	2.45	6.36%
LOSS	Real Central NJ - Delaware FC	2.35	6.36%
WIN	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	2.40	7.37%
WIN	Amman FC U19 (W) - Nashama Al-Mustaqbal U19 (W)	2.50	6.67%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
JK Tammeka Tartu II - JK Trans Narva II	2	2.35	7.37%	12 Jul 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Mag 28, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.36% • n=530

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.36% • n=530

Start

Started 44d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 5h ago