Model: TipA1

MSK Zilina vs Pardubice

PREDICTION

@ 2.45

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 01, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 49d 5h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pardubice. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PardubiceGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.45First seen

Current2.51Now

Max odds2.51Highest point

Min odds2.45Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MSK ZilinaHOME

PardubiceAWAY

DDLDL

Recent form

DDWLW

Avg goals scored

0.60

4.60

Defensive weakness

1.40

Shots on target for

5.00

7.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

2.20

Home splitD-D-L-W-W1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-W-W4.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.45. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.45

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Pardubice shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Pardubice has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 93.7% 7D: 31.4% 15D: 19.7% 30D: 6.1%

Model insight

MSK Zilina – Pardubice Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.36% and 6.36%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample88

Win Rate39.8%

Profit-2.21u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Metalac Gornji - Smederevo	2.35	6.36%
WIN	Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg	2.25	7.37%
LOSS	Wexford FC (W) - FC Treaty United (W)	2.38	6.36%
WIN	CSM Ramnicu Valcea - CSM Slatina	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	SK Rapid Psary - Meteor Prague VIII	2.50	6.36%
WIN	Ferroviario de Nampula - Black Bulls	2.35	6.36%
LOSS	Havant and W - Frome Town	2.38	6.36%
LOSS	Kremser SC - Parndorf	2.55	6.36%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Sundby - Horsholm-Usserod IK	2	2.30	6.36%	22 Aug 14:00
Cove Rangers - Peterhead	2	2.63	6.36%	22 Aug 16:00
FK Macva Sabac - Radnicki Nis	2	2.45	7.37%	22 Aug 18:30

Pick

2 @ 2.45

Kickoff

Lug 01, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.36% • n=530

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.36% • n=530

Start

Started 49d 5h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 17h ago