NK Primorje Ajdovscina – NK Nafta 1903

Model: TIPPSA

NK Primorje Ajdovscina vs NK Nafta 1903

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.65
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 27, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 45d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NK Nafta 1903. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NK Nafta 1903

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.65Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NK Primorje AjdovscinaHOME
VS
NK Nafta 1903AWAY
DLDLL
Recent form
DDLWW
Avg goals scored
0.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.80
Shots on target for
2.20
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
3.60
Home splitD-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 2.60 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-W-W1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.65. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovenia Prva Liga Play-Offs (si). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.65
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, NK Nafta 1903 has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. NK Nafta 1903 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 20.9% 7D: 29.1% 15D: 26.8% 30D: 8.2%
Model insight

NK Primorje Ajdovscina – NK Nafta 1903 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate35.7%
Profit-2.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSMontevideo Wanderers Reserves - Penarol Reserves2.590.84%
WINKhangarid Klub - Deren FC2.630.84%
WINTulsa - Colorado Switchbacks FC2.670.84%
WINLyn 1896 - Bryne2.530.84%
LOSSDerry City - Bohemians Dublin2.450.84%
WINZED FC - Wadi Degla2.540.84%
LOSSTPS - VPS Vaasa2.480.84%
LOSSCerezo Osaka - FC Tokyo2.460.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.65
Kickoff
Mag 27, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 45d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 11h ago
Torna in alto