Bentleigh Greens – Hume City

Model: TipA1

Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 05, 2026 2:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 5
StartStarted 46d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.90% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hume City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hume CityGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

9/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds1.86Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bentleigh GreensHOME
VS
Hume CityAWAY
LLLDD
Recent form
WDWWW
Avg goals scored
0.60
3.20
Defensive weakness
2.60
1.00
Shots on target for
2.80
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
7.60
3.80
Home splitL-D-D-W-L1.20 scored / 2.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-L3.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.90% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.15
V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 BandNONEROI -4.90% · n=286
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hume City's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -17.9% 7D: 2.8% 15D: 18.2% 30D: 13.8%
Model insight

Bentleigh Greens – Hume City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.48% and -4.90%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample168
Win Rate48.8%
Profit+2.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINRyutsu Keizai Dragons - Nihon University2.00-1.48%
LOSSVIFK (W) - PK-35 (W)2.20-3.85%
LOSSBasel - Juventus2.00-1.48%
WINAlmirante Brown Reserves - CA San Telmo Reserves2.00-1.48%
LOSSSao Luiz - CSA2.20-1.48%
LOSSMacarthur Rams (W) - Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)2.00-3.85%
LOSSArgentino Quilmes - Arsenal de Sarandi2.15-1.48%
LOSSCeara (W) - 3B Sport AM (W)2.05-1.48%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Inverness CT - St Johnstone22.15-3.85%21 Jul 20:45
Pick
2 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Giu 05, 2026 2:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.90% • n=286
Start
Started 46d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 3h ago
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