Model: TIPPSH

Nautico vs Fortaleza

PREDICTION

@ 2.23

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 10, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 44d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nautico. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NauticoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.23First seen

Current2.23Now

Max odds2.23Highest point

Min odds2.23Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NauticoHOME

FortalezaAWAY

LLWWW

Recent form

WLLLW

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

Shots on target for

6.20

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

4.80

Home splitL-W-W-L-W1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-W-L1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.23. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.23

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Nautico a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Nautico has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -2.0% 7D: -11.7% 15D: 11.5% 30D: 13.6%

Model insight

Nautico – Fortaleza Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.23. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample279

Win Rate47.7%

Profit+9.42u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Eastern Lions - Box Hill United	2.48	1.59%
WIN	Deportivo Cali (W) - America de Cali (W)	2.25	1.59%
WIN	Zhejiang Hangzhou B (W) - Guangdong Yue Zhan (W)	2.33	1.59%
LOSS	FK Sloga Doboj - Ajman SCC	2.20	1.04%
LOSS	RAAL La Louviere - Kifisias FC	2.20	1.04%
LOSS	United Kolkata SC - Bhawanipore FC	2.43	1.59%
LOSS	Kedah FA U20 - Touchtronics FC U20	2.43	1.59%
WIN	Hajduk Split - Pafos FC	2.26	1.59%

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New York Red Bulls II - Crown Legacy	1	2.09	1.04%	25 Jul 01:00

Pick

1 @ 2.23

Kickoff

Giu 10, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 44d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 1h ago