Model: TIPPSH

AaB vs Hillerød

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 24, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 23h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AaB. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AaBGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.009 | A: -0.033

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AaBHOME

HillerødAWAY

LDWWL

Recent form

LDLWL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.60

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.60

Shots on target for

4.60

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

3.60

Home splitL-D-W-W-L1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-W0.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 1 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.25

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. AaB has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 43.2% 7D: 24.3% 15D: 17.5% 30D: 20.1%

Model insight

AaB – Hillerød Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample258

Win Rate48.8%

Profit+16.17u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Buzios - Barra Mansa	2.35	1.59%
WIN	Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20	2.24	1.04%
WIN	St Pauli - HNK Gorica	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	2.13	1.04%
LOSS	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	2.00	1.04%
WIN	Marconi Stallions U20 - Sydney United 58 U20	2.23	1.31%
WIN	Boroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	2.45	1.59%
WIN	HNK Segesta - Karlovac	2.40	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Lug 24, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 3d 23h

Updated

Updated 4m ago