MC Oran – USM Alger

Model: TipA1

MC Oran vs USM Alger

PREDICTION
2
@ 5.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 06, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 44d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.76% · n=46
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is USM Alger. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: USM AlgerGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

68/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.06First seen
Current5.00Now
Max odds5.03Highest point
Min odds3.06Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MC OranHOME
VS
USM AlgerAWAY
DLWWL
Recent form
DDDLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.60
Shots on target for
4.60
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
7.00
2.40
Home splitD-W-W1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-L-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 5.00. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.76% based on n=46 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Algeria Division 1 (dz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd5.00
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.76% · n=46
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -4.3% 7D: -12.6% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 14.0%
Model insight

MC Oran – USM Alger Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 5.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.76% across 46 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample4
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+5.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAmazonas FC - Itabaiana4.755.76%
WINHuachipato - Puerto Montt4.755.76%
LOSSIndependiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima5.005.76%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Thitsar Arman FC (W) - Young Lionesses FC (W)25.255.75%22 Jul 11:00
Pick
2 @ 5.00
Kickoff
Giu 06, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.76% • n=46
Start
Started 44d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 20h ago
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