Model: TipTromba25H
Adelaide Comets Reserves – West Adelaide Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 10:15 AM
ResultWIN5 - 1
StartStarted 7d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.47% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.47% · n=79
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 17h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.97First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds1.97Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Adelaide Comets Reserves | West Adelaide Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-L-L | L-L-D-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 3.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-W (home) | L-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.50 scored / 2.50 conceded | 0.75 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.80 for / 6.40 against | 2.20 for / 7.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 10.00 for / 8.67 against (home) | 2.50 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Adelaide Comets Reserves's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 43.8%
7D: 6.3%
15D: -0.8%
30D: 15.0%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.40. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.47% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia SA Premier League Reserves (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.40
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.47% · n=79
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.47% · n=79
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
Model insight
Adelaide Comets Reserves – West Adelaide Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba25H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.47% and 7.47%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate53.8%
Profit+2.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Northern Tigers FC (W) - Manly Utd (W) | 2.38 | 7.47% |
| WIN | Olympic Kingsway U23 - Stirling Macedonia U23 | 2.20 | 6.63% |
| WIN | Ballyclare Comrades (W) - Craigavon City (W) | 2.15 | 6.63% |
| WIN | Ballymoney United (W) - Ballymena Utd (W) | 2.30 | 7.47% |
| WIN | Viking FK (W) - Honefoss (W) | 2.35 | 7.47% |
| LOSS | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) - Orca Kamogawa FC (W) | 2.20 | 6.63% |
| LOSS | Slovenia U19 (W) - Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 (W) | 2.40 | 7.47% |
| WIN | Gornik Zabrze U19 - Lech Poznan U19 | 2.25 | 7.47% |
Pick
1 @ 2.40
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 10:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.47% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.47% • n=79
Start
Started 7d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 17h ago