Model: TIPPSH

Ballyclare Comrades (W) vs Craigavon City (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.90

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 17, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 45d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ballyclare Comrades (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ballyclare Comrades (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.19First seen

Current1.98Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds1.90Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ballyclare Comrades (W)HOME

Craigavon City (W)AWAY

WLLWW

Recent form

LWLLL

Avg goals scored

2.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

3.20

Shots on target for

6.20

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

9.60

Home splitW-L-W-D-L1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L1.00 scored / 3.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Championship Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.90

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Ballyclare Comrades (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -14.2% 7D: -10.1% 15D: -4.4% 30D: 9.2%

Model insight

Ballyclare Comrades (W) – Craigavon City (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate70.6%

Profit+6.58u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Sporting - Nottm Forest	2.05	6.72%
WIN	Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	2.14	6.72%
WIN	Flint City Bucks - Ventura County Fusion	1.79	6.72%
WIN	Gyeongnam FC - Ansan Greeners FC	1.78	6.72%
WIN	Botafogo SP - Avai	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
WIN	University NSW U20 - St George Saints U20	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Jincheon HR - Gijang United	1.90	6.72%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Leones FC - Guayaquil City	1	1.87	6.72%	23 Jul 23:30

Pick

1 @ 1.90

Kickoff

Giu 17, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Started 45d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 2h ago