Model: TIPPSH
IA Akranes – Valur Reykjavik
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.29
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 16, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 10h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | IA Akranes | Valur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-W-D | L-L-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-D-L-D (home) | L-W-L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 2.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 5.60 against | 4.40 for / 8.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.67 for / 5.33 against (home) | 4.25 for / 8.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors IA Akranes. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 32.9%
7D: 7.6%
15D: 1.2%
30D: 14.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.09First seen
Current2.29Now
Max odds2.32Highest point
Min odds2.09Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
IA Akranes – Valur Reykjavik Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.29. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample120
Win Rate40.0%
Profit-15.40u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Waterford FC - Sligo Rovers | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Oman - Mozambique | 2.18 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CF Benidorm - Torrevieja | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Oskar Przysucha - MKS Piaseczno | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | CS Dock Sud Reserves - Villa San Carlos Reserves | 2.51 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Toronto FC II - Huntsville City | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Perth SC - Stirling Macedonia | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Atletico Rio Abajo - AF Chilibre | 2.23 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Yamato Sylphid (W) - SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) | 1 | 2.40 | 2.49% | 14 Jun 06:00 |
| Dnepr Mogilev - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1 | 2.18 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 17:00 |
| Londrina - Avai | 1 | 2.33 | 3.15% | 16 Jun 02:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.29
Kickoff
Giu 16, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 3d 10h
Updated
Updated 8m ago