Model: TipTromba3H

Carlos Manucci vs Alianza Atletico

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 13, 2026 10:15 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 68d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.03% · n=612

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 69d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Carlos Manucci. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Carlos ManucciGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.65First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds3.65Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Carlos ManucciHOME

Alianza AtleticoAWAY

LWWDL

Recent form

WLLDD

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.20

Shots on target for

4.40

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

4.60

Home splitL-W-D-W-W1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-D-W0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.60. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.03% based on n=612 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Copa de la Liga (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.60

V2 BandLOWROI 0.03% · n=612

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Carlos Manucci shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -18.0% 7D: -11.4% 15D: -3.6% 30D: 11.4%

Model insight

Carlos Manucci – Alianza Atletico Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.03% across 612 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample62

Win Rate33.9%

Profit-6.73u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	MFK Havirov - FC Trinity Zlin B	2.50	0.03%
WIN	Skanstes SK - Marupes SC	2.50	0.03%
LOSS	Balcatta - Armadale	2.70	0.03%
WIN	FC Kontu - HPS II	2.60	0.03%
LOSS	SIF - FC Kiisto	2.63	0.03%
LOSS	Al Riyadh - Al Gharafa	2.50	0.03%
WIN	CA Douglas Haig - CA 9 de Julio Rafaela	2.63	0.03%
LOSS	Gremio Anapolis - Morrinhos	2.70	0.03%

Pick

1 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Giu 13, 2026 10:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.03% • n=612

Start

Started 68d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 69d 6h ago