Mogi Mirim U23 – Santacruzense U23

Model: TipTromba35H

Mogi Mirim U23 vs Santacruzense U23

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 68d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 69d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mogi Mirim U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mogi Mirim U23Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.25First seen
Current3.34Now
Max odds3.34Highest point
Min odds3.25Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mogi Mirim U23HOME
VS
Santacruzense U23AWAY
WWLLW
Recent form
LWLWD
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.00
Shots on target for
7.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
5.00
Home splitW-W-L-L-W1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-D-L1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Paulista Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Mogi Mirim U23 has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Mogi Mirim U23 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -18.0% 7D: -11.4% 15D: -3.6% 30D: 11.4%
Model insight

Mogi Mirim U23 – Santacruzense U23 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample261
Win Rate30.7%
Profit-5.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSPost SV - Hellas Kagran3.304.14%
LOSSTabasalu FC Charma - Johvi FC Phoenix3.003.85%
WINHapoel Afula - MS Ashdod3.404.14%
WINCS Concordia Chiajna - Otelul Galati3.253.56%
LOSSPirin Blagoevgrad - FC Hebar Pazardzhik3.103.85%
LOSSFelgueiras 1932 U23 - Braga U233.003.85%
LOSSFK Egnatia - Lillestrom3.404.14%
LOSSDeportivo Riestra - Gimnasia LP3.324.14%
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Pick
1 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Started 68d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 69d 1h ago
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