Model: TIPPSH
Villa Espanola – Villa Teresa
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.68
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 6d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 15h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.68Now
Max odds2.68Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Villa Espanola | Villa Teresa |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-W-L-L | L-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.25 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-W-L (home) | L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 0.50 conceded | 1.00 scored / 2.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.60 for / 2.00 against | 1.75 for / 4.75 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.25 for / 1.75 against (home) | 1.67 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Villa Espanola. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Villa Espanola has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -19.5%
7D: 1.0%
15D: -5.8%
30D: 10.9%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.68. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Primera Division Amateur (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.68
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
Model insight
Villa Espanola – Villa Teresa Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample22
Win Rate45.5%
Profit+4.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Busan Trans Corp - Gyeongju HNP | 2.74 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Atletico Goianiense U20 - Goias U20 | 2.60 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Hedensted IF - Norresundby | 2.81 | 4.53% |
| WIN | FC Baranovichi - FC Minsk | 2.90 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Brunswick City - Eltham Redbacks | 2.60 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Burkina Faso (W) - Mali (W) | 2.77 | 4.53% |
| WIN | FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) - Diosa Izumo (W) | 2.77 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | CS Dock Sud Reserves - Villa San Carlos Reserves | 2.51 | 2.49% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ullern U19 - Lillehammer U19 | 1 | 2.59 | 2.49% | 21 Jun 12:30 |
| AC Colina - Brujas de Salamanca | 1 | 2.51 | 3.15% | 21 Jun 18:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.68
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 6d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 15h ago