Model: TIPPSH
Burkina Faso (W) – Mali (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 07, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 5d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5d 18h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Burkina Faso (W) | Mali (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-D-D-L | D-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-D (home) | D-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for / 3.25 against | 3.67 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 3.50 against (home) | 3.67 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -15.1%
7D: -12.8%
15D: 1.9%
30D: 12.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.36First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.36Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Burkina Faso (W) – Mali (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate46.7%
Profit+3.44u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Brunswick City - Eltham Redbacks | 2.60 | 2.49% |
| WIN | FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) - Diosa Izumo (W) | 2.77 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Sydney FC U21 - NWS Spirit FC | 2.55 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | JJK - VJS Vantaa | 2.78 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Gangneung City - Changwon City | 2.95 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | SC Weiz - Askoe Oedt | 3.04 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Melville United - Tauranga City AFC | 2.59 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Amanat Baghdad - Al Gharraf | 2.63 | 2.49% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Baranovichi - FC Minsk | 1 | 2.90 | 4.53% | 13 Jun 14:00 |
| Hedensted IF - Norresundby | 1 | 2.81 | 4.53% | 13 Jun 14:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Giu 07, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 5d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 5d 18h ago