Burkina Faso (W) – Mali (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Burkina Faso (W) vs Mali (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 07, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 56d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Burkina Faso (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Burkina Faso (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.36First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.36Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Burkina Faso (W)HOME
VS
Mali (W)AWAY
DDDDL
Recent form
DDD
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.00
Shots on target for
2.75
3.67
SoT conceded pressure
3.25
6.00
Home splitD-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.80. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women’s International Match. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.80
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -15.1% 7D: -12.8% 15D: 1.9% 30D: 12.2%
Model insight

Burkina Faso (W) – Mali (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample52
Win Rate40.4%
Profit+6.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLaholms FK - FC Trollhättan2.884.53%
WINCroydon Athletic - Burgess Hill Town3.004.53%
LOSSFC Vaduz - St Gallen3.044.53%
LOSSHuntsville City - Crown Legacy2.834.53%
LOSSAldosivi - Gimnasia LP3.004.53%
LOSSEstudiantes Rio Cuarto - Banfield2.663.15%
WINGimnasia Mendoza - Union Santa Fe3.002.04%
LOSSIndependiente FBC - Deportivo Capiata2.764.53%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
HB Torshavn - NSI Runavik12.552.49%03 Aug 19:30
Pick
1 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Giu 07, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 56d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 12h ago
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