Model: TipTromba45H

SC Grobinas vs FK Liepaja

PREDICTION

@ 4.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 16, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 47d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 48d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SC Grobinas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SC GrobinasGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.04First seen

Current4.13Now

Max odds4.50Highest point

Min odds3.90Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SC GrobinasHOME

FK LiepajaAWAY

WLLDL

Recent form

LWWDL

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

5.60

Home splitW-L-L-D-D1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-L0.40 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.00

V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor SC Grobinas. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -27.2% 7D: -4.3% 15D: -8.1% 30D: 10.5%

Model insight

SC Grobinas – FK Liepaja Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.00% and 0.00%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample14

Win Rate14.3%

Profit-5.80u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	CA Brown de Adrogue U20 - Arsenal de Sarandi U20	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	Tenerife - Getafe	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Coleshill Town - Alvechurch	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Darlington 1883 - Carlisle	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	GrIFK - AIFK	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	Biel Bienne - Yverdon Sport FC	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Santa Cruz RJ - Perolas Negras	4.00	0.00%

Pick

1 @ 4.00

Kickoff

Giu 16, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

0.00% • n=160

Start

Started 47d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 48d 3h ago