HJK (W) – TPS (W)

Model: TipTromba2H

HJK (W) vs TPS (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 24, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultWIN4 - 1
StartStarted 44d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.00% · n=12
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.00% · n=12
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 44d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is HJK (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HJK (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current1.60Now
Max odds1.73Highest point
Min odds1.60Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HJK (W)HOME
VS
TPS (W)AWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LLWDD
Avg goals scored
4.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.80
Shots on target for
10.80
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
5.80
Home splitW-W-W-W-W3.80 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-L1.00 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.60. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.00% based on n=12 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.60
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.00% · n=12
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.00% · n=12
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to HJK (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -35.0% 7D: 1.6% 15D: -0.9% 30D: -0.6%
Model insight

HJK (W) – TPS (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.00% and 3.00%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample4
Win Rate100.0%
Profit+2.54u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFK Zhenys (W) - FC Elimai Semey (W)1.573.00%
WINSabah - Zira IK1.622.16%
WINSouths United - Samford Rangers1.622.16%
Pick
1 @ 1.60
Kickoff
Giu 24, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.00% • n=12
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.00% • n=12
Start
Started 44d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 44d 18h ago
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