Model: TIPPSH

Congo DR vs Uzbekistan

PREDICTION

@ 1.81

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 28, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 41d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 42d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Congo DR. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Congo DRGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.19First seen

Current1.81Now

Max odds2.19Highest point

Min odds1.75Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Congo DRHOME

UzbekistanAWAY

WLDLD

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

3.00

Shots on target for

3.00

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

5.00

Home splitW-L-D1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L0.50 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Cup 2026. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.81

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Congo DR's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -20.8% 7D: 3.1% 15D: -0.1% 30D: -0.3%

Model insight

Congo DR – Uzbekistan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample403

Win Rate48.6%

Profit-31.33u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Ferrymead Bays - Nomads United	1.95	1.04%
LOSS	VG-62 - MaPS	2.06	1.04%
WIN	Gold Coast United (W) - Capalaba (W)	1.81	1.04%
LOSS	SC Bastia - Le Puy	1.87	1.04%
WIN	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Maipu	1.90	1.04%
LOSS	Thor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U19	2.01	1.04%
WIN	Freiburg (W) - Nurnberg (W)	1.82	1.31%
WIN	Motagua - CD FAS	1.83	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.81

Kickoff

Giu 28, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746

Start

Started 41d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 42d 13h ago