Model: TIPPSH

Alftanes vs Arborg

PREDICTION

@ 2.08

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 23, 2026 11:15 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2h 41m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alftanes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Alftanes

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.81First seen

Current2.20Now

Max odds2.52Highest point

Min odds1.81Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AlftanesHOME

ArborgAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

WLWWD

Avg goals scored

2.80

3.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

Shots on target for

8.20

7.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

6.00

Home splitW-W-W-W3.75 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-W1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.08. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 4 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.08

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Alftanes a useful statistical edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Alftanes has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -100.0% 7D: -2.3% 15D: -2.6% 30D: -1.3%

Model insight

Alftanes – Arborg Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample237

Win Rate46.8%

Profit-10.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Gold Coast Knights - Eastern Suburbs	2.19	1.04%
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LOSS	BATE Borisov - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2.33	1.59%
LOSS	FC Merani Tbilisi - FC Orbi	2.31	1.59%
LOSS	Guarani de Palhoca - Nacao	2.00	1.31%
WIN	Carlos Renaux U20 - Concordia U20	2.28	1.59%
WIN	Maitland FC - Newcastle Olympic FC	1.84	1.31%
WIN	Serra Branca EC - Juazeirense	1.89	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.08

Kickoff

Giu 23, 2026 11:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 2h 41m

Updated

Updated 45m ago