Model: TIPPSH

Birmingham Legion FC vs New Mexico United

PREDICTION

@ 2.17

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 27, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 16h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Birmingham Legion FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Birmingham Legion FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Birmingham Legion FCHOME

New Mexico UnitedAWAY

WDLDD

Recent form

WWWDW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

5.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

4.80

Home splitW-L-D-L-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-D-L1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.17

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Birmingham Legion FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 35.3% 7D: 38.9% 15D: 21.4% 30D: 25.7%

Model insight

Birmingham Legion FC – New Mexico United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample322

Win Rate47.5%

Profit+2.88u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Internacional (W) - Fluminense RJ (W)	1.99	1.04%
WIN	SD Atletico Nacional - San Francisco Reserves	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	FC Kufstein - FC Pinzgau	2.05	1.31%
LOSS	Sacachispas U20 - El Porvenir U20	2.00	1.04%
WIN	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Fulham United FC	1.94	1.04%
WIN	Deportivo Cali (W) - America de Cali (W)	2.25	1.59%
WIN	Vysocina Jihlava - Viktoria Zizkov	2.06	1.04%
WIN	Zhejiang Hangzhou B (W) - Guangdong Yue Zhan (W)	2.33	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United	1	1.97	1.04%	25 Jul 02:00
Inter Lions - Prospect United	1	2.00	1.31%	25 Jul 09:00
Pocheon Citizen FC - Daejeon Korail	1	2.16	1.04%	25 Jul 11:00
Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	1	2.05	1.04%	25 Jul 12:00
Liaoning Ironman - Qingdao West Coast	1	2.16	1.04%	25 Jul 13:35

Pick

1 @ 2.17

Kickoff

Lug 27, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 1d 16h

Updated

Updated 11m ago