Model: TipTromba2H

Deren FC vs Central Stallions

PREDICTION

@ 1.95

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 24, 2026 12:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 46d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deren FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deren FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deren FCHOME

Central StallionsAWAY

WWWLL

Recent form

LLWWL

Avg goals scored

2.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.80

Shots on target for

6.40

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

5.00

Home splitW-L-W-D-W4.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-D-D1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.17% based on n=215 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mongolia Premier League (mn). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.95

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Deren FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -19.2% 7D: 5.5% 15D: 1.5% 30D: -0.1%

Model insight

Deren FC – Central Stallions Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.17% and 6.17%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample236

Win Rate56.4%

Profit+9.04u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Blooming U19 - Oriente Petrolero U19	1.80	6.89%
WIN	EC Sao Bernardo - Sao Caetano	1.75	7.35%
LOSS	FC Heimo (W) - EPS (W)	1.75	6.89%
LOSS	Miedz Legnica II - Barycz Sulow	1.91	7.35%
WIN	Kagoshima United - Thespa Gunma	1.75	7.35%
WIN	Sport Huancayo II - Santos FC	1.95	7.35%
LOSS	Bavois - FC Zurich II	1.75	6.89%
WIN	SFK Holesov - Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	1.91	7.35%

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Leiston - Bishop's Stortford	1	1.90	6.89%	11 Aug 20:45

Pick

1 @ 1.95

Kickoff

Giu 24, 2026 12:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.17% • n=215

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.17% • n=215

Start

Started 46d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 15h ago