EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Caetano
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is EC Sao Bernardo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: EC Sao BernardoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.058 | A: 0.031Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.35% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Paulista Cup (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors EC Sao Bernardo, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. EC Sao Bernardo has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
EC Sao Bernardo – Sao Caetano Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Blooming U19 - Oriente Petrolero U19 | 1.80 | 6.89% |
| WIN | Kagoshima United - Thespa Gunma | 1.75 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Sport Huancayo II - Santos FC | 1.95 | 7.35% |
| LOSS | Bavois - FC Zurich II | 1.75 | 6.89% |
| WIN | FCJ Blackbird - JJK/2 | 1.50 | 6.49% |
| WIN | SFK Holesov - Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B | 1.91 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Curzon Ashton - Alfreton Town | 1.80 | 6.89% |
| WIN | Buxton - Hereford FC | 1.91 | 6.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social Atletico Television - Nautico Hacoaj | 1 | 1.80 | 7.35% | 08 Aug 20:00 |
| Escorpiones de Belen FC - Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1 | 1.83 | 6.89% | 09 Aug 02:00 |
| El Paso Locomotive FC - Oakland Roots | 1 | 1.95 | 6.89% | 09 Aug 03:00 |
| Miedz Legnica II - Barycz Sulow | 1 | 1.91 | 7.35% | 09 Aug 12:00 |
| FC Heimo (W) - EPS (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 6.89% | 09 Aug 14:00 |
| Hammarby TFF - FBK Karlstad | 1 | 1.53 | 6.49% | 09 Aug 16:00 |
| Ypiranga RS - Floresta EC | 1 | 1.90 | 7.35% | 09 Aug 21:00 |