Adamstown Rosebud (W) vs Lake Macquarie (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Adamstown Rosebud (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Adamstown Rosebud (W)Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Adamstown Rosebud (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Adamstown Rosebud (W) – Lake Macquarie (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Paisley Athletic (W) - Long Island Rough Riders Women | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Skjetten - Alta | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Slovan Bratislava B - AS Trencin | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Inter Miami CF II - Carolina Core FC | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Kingborough Lions - South Hobart | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Mogi Mirim U23 - Santacruzense U23 | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Bonsucesso FC - Resende RJ | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Kumu - KoPa | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern United Reserves - Cumberland United Reserves | 1 | 3.40 | 4.14% | 27 Jun 04:30 |