Adamstown Rosebud (W) vs Lake Macquarie (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Adamstown Rosebud (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Adamstown Rosebud (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Adamstown Rosebud (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Adamstown Rosebud (W) – Lake Macquarie (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Espanyol B - CE Europa | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | CD Colonia Moscardo - Fuenlabrada | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| WIN | SV Austria Salzburg - First Vienna FC 1894 | 3.41 | 4.14% |
| WIN | HPS (W) - KuPS (W) | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Parceiro Nagano - Renofa Yamaguchi | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Yeclano - FC Cartagena | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Goztepe - Trabzonspor | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | SV Tillmitsch - SC Kalsdorf | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional - San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 1 | 3.20 | 3.85% | 13 Aug 22:30 |
| Haverfordwest County - Penybont | 1 | 3.20 | 3.85% | 14 Aug 20:45 |
| Aldershot - Hartlepool | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 15 Aug 16:00 |