Model: TipTromba35H
El Nacional vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.25
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 7h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.56% · n=265
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is El Nacional. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: El NacionalGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.023 | A: -0.021Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
49/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.05First seen
Current3.25Now
Max odds3.30Highest point
Min odds3.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
El NacionalHOME
VS
San Antonio FC CotacachiAWAY
WWDLL
Recent form
WWDLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.20
Shots on target for
3.80
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
4.60
Home splitW-D-L-D-L0.20 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-D0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.56% based on n=265 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie B (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd3.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.56% · n=265
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 51.8%
7D: 15.7%
15D: 14.2%
30D: 11.8%
Model insight
El Nacional – San Antonio FC Cotacachi Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.56% across 265 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample238
Win Rate31.5%
Profit+1.52u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Keilor Park (W) - Heidelberg United (W) | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | FC Jazz - OLS | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| WIN | SV Austria Salzburg - First Vienna FC 1894 | 3.41 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Desenzano - Giana Erminio | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| WIN | HPS (W) - KuPS (W) | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Parceiro Nagano - Renofa Yamaguchi | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Yeclano - FC Cartagena | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Schalke - Atalanta | 3.00 | 2.17% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal Club - Al Arabi SC | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 12 Aug 15:30 |
| KPV Akatemia - Sporting Kristina | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 12 Aug 18:00 |
| Espanyol B - CE Europa | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 12 Aug 19:00 |
| CD Colonia Moscardo - Fuenlabrada | 1 | 3.30 | 3.56% | 12 Aug 20:00 |
| Anderlecht - PAOK Salonika | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 13 Aug 20:30 |
| Haverfordwest County - Penybont | 1 | 3.20 | 3.85% | 14 Aug 20:45 |
| Aldershot - Hartlepool | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
Pick
1 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.56% • n=265
Start
Starts in 1d 7h
Updated
Updated 11m ago