Model: TipTromba12H

FC Rapperswil-Jona vs Basel

PREDICTION

@ 9.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 26, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 3

StartStarted 7h 42m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=38

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Rapperswil-Jona. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Rapperswil-Jona

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds9.50First seen

Current9.50Now

Max odds9.50Highest point

Min odds9.50Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Rapperswil-JonaHOME

BaselAWAY

LWWLL

Recent form

WLLLW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

2.20

Shots on target for

3.40

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

6.40

5.80

Home splitL-W-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 9.50. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=38 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd9.50

V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=38

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 6.4% 7D: -3.6% 15D: -5.4% 30D: -0.9%

Model insight

FC Rapperswil-Jona – Basel Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 9.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.41% across 38 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample12

Win Rate16.7%

Profit+7.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	AIK (W) - BK Hacken (W)	9.50	1.41%
WIN	Flamengo de Sucre - Nacional Sucre	9.50	1.41%
LOSS	BK Hacken (W) II - Elfsborg (W)	9.50	1.41%
LOSS	Canberra White Eagles - Canberra Juventus	9.50	1.00%
LOSS	Carlos Mannucci (W) - Atletico Andahuaylas (W)	9.50	1.00%
LOSS	Volos NFC (W) - AEK Athens (W)	9.50	1.00%
LOSS	Macau University - Cheng Fung	9.50	0.56%
LOSS	Tevi Cocle (W) - UMECIT (W)	9.50	1.00%

Pick

1 @ 9.50

Kickoff

Giu 26, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=38

Start

Started 7h 42m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 2h ago